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Analysts: OPEC Decision Good For Global Market, US Shale Producers

Despite President Donald Trump’s persistent calls for OPEC to not lower production, the 15-member oil cartel’s decision to reduce supply on Dec. 7 will ultimately be good for U.S. oil production, a senior oil market analyst told Hart Energy. OPEC ended two-days of intense talks in Vienna, Austria, with the expected decision to reduce oil supply by 1.2 million barrels per day (MMbbl/d) beginning in January. The immediate response was that oil prices jumped 5% as Benchmark Brent crude oil rose $3.26 to a high of $63.32 early on Dec. 7 and U.S. light crude rose $2.62 to a high of $54.11 before slipping to around $53.90.
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Brazil’s Petrobras Nears Terms Over TAG Pipeline Sale

Brazil’s state-controlled oil company Petróleo Brasileiro (NYSE: PBR) could present a new sale and purchase agreement (SPA) before the end of December for the sale of the Transportadora Associada de Gás (TAG) pipeline, after a Brazilian Supreme Court injunction in July stalled the sale. The sale of TAG, which operates natural gas pipelines in Brazil’s north and northeast, could fetch Petrobras as much as US$7 billion, in one of the company’s largest-ever asset sales, three sources familiar with the process said. A new multibillion dollar syndicated loan is expected to finance the acquisition, two sources said.
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Chevron Projects $20 Billion Spending Budget For 2019

Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX), the second largest U.S.-based oil producer, is budgeting $20 billion for capital projects next year, the company said Dec. 6. The San Ramon, California-based company said it plans to spend $3.6 billion to produce oil and gas in the Permian Basin of west Texas and New Mexico and $1.6 billion for other shale investments. Chevron will spend $4.3 billion on its Tengiz field in Kazakhstan.
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Perry, DOE Tout Appalachian Energy Hub

Building a new ethane storage and petrochemical hub in Appalachia presents a “once in a lifetime opportunity for this country,” Energy Secretary Rick Perry told the National Petroleum Council on Tuesday.

The secretary’s remarks coincide with the Department of Energy’s release of a report to Congress highlighting the potential of a new hub atop the natural gas and natural gas liquids-rich Marcellus and Utica shale formations of Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia. Among the DOE’s conclusions:

Appalachia’s abundant resources coupled with extensive downstream industrial activity may offer a competitive advantage that could enable it to displace marginal producers and help the U.S. gain global market share in the petrochemical industry.

The new report follows DOE’s June primer, and further bolsters the findings of a recent IHS Markit study conducted on behalf of the economic development initiative Shale Crescent USA.

More Than Meets Supply

As the International Energy Agency conveyed in its annual World Energy Outlook, the petrochemical sector will drive oil and natural gas development worldwide. While the Gulf Coast will continue to be a center for petrochemical manufacturing, remaining economically competitive in the global market calls for the expansion of petrochemical infrastructure.

Development of the Marcellus and Utica-Point Pleasant shales in Appalachia has produced prolific amounts of natural gas liquids (NGLs), specifically high volumes of ethane – the “building block” of petrochemical feedstock and plastics manufacturing.

The DOE report, based on the latest data from Energy Information Administration, projects a remarkable increase in the volume of ethane from the Eastern Region, which includes the Appalachian Basin. The increased ethane supply provides the best reason to locate the new hub in Appalachia.

The Appalachian Industrial Ecosystem

In addition to producing ample supply to meet growing demand, the Appalachian Basin’s location – its transportation access and proximity to the market – strengthens the region’s viability.

Furthering the attractiveness for investment, the recent IHS Markit study identified the region – through the combination of its location, proven reserves, and production levels – as the most profitable location for petrochemical development in the United States.

A Concord of Interest

The Gulf Coast serves as the U.S. petrochemical hub, but with growing worldwide demand, a second hub would provide the ability to increase competitiveness in the global marketplace, as Sec. Perry told the NPC audience earlier this week.

The addition of a hub in Appalachia would not result in internal competition for investment between the two regions, but complement each other as the United States looks to expand its petrochemical manufacturing capacity. As the DOE report explains, a new hub in Appalachia would “enhance the geographic diversity of the vital U.S. petrochemical industrial sector, supporting U.S. economic security.”

This diversification also provides stability in the industry in the case of disruption from natural disasters such as Hurricane Harvey, which “paralyzed” the Gulf Coast.

Sec. Perry, a former governor of Texas, noted the severity of the impact these events can have on the nation’s economy during his speech on Tuesday:

“The present-day geographic concentration along the Gulf Coast of petrochemical infrastructure and supply may pose a strategic risk, where severe weather events limit the availability of key feedstocks.

“Don’t think for a second that I’m about pitting one section of the country against the other, we need it all and just like in the electricity sector, resiliency matters to the marketplace.”

Conclusion

Massive investments from the petrochemical industry including the multibillion-dollar Shell ethane cracker in Beaver County, Pennsylvania, and the proposed PTT Global Chemical complex in Belmont, Ohio, mark the first big steps toward creating the new Appalachian hub.

These projects are bringing thousands of jobs, billions of dollars in investment, and generating new revenue streams for local governments. With the DOE amplifying the region’s viability, a new wave of economic growth gained from the development of our oil and natural gas resources looks to be more inevitable than before.

The supply is here, the demand is here, and as the DOE report shows, Appalachia checks all the boxes to make the region a viable location to house the next American energy hub.

Energy Sustainability Is Produced by the Free Market, Not Government

Robert Bradley, Jr. Founder and CEO of the Institute for Energy Research. …. ….   Energy sustainability is the product of innovation and consumer choices best left to the free market. Government is terrible picking winners and losers. Depletion … … Continue reading

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Sanchez Energy Hires Financial Adviser To Explore Strategic Alternatives

Sanchez Energy Corp. (NYSE: SN) said Dec. 4 it has engaged Moelis & Co. LLC as financial adviser to explore strategic alternatives to strengthen its balance sheet and maximize the value of the Eagle Ford-focused company. So far this year, Sanchez has faced three straight quarters of production declines and analysts with Capital One Securities recently said the company appears to be insolvent with about $3.1 billion of asset value and roughly $3.7 billion of net liabilities and corporate overhead. Tony Sanchez III, president and CEO of Sanchez Energy, said the company has been focused on taking critical steps throughout the year to stabilize its production profile and reduce the capital intensity of the business. “However, these operational challenges, combined with volatility in the commodity markets and the company’s leverage, led the company to review opportunities to improve its financial flexibility for continued success in the future,” Sanchez said in a statement.
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