The oilfield services (Ofs) sector will shrink in 2020, as oil and gas producers chop spending in response to lower crude prices, ending three years of growth, according to Rystad Energy.
The market will shrink 4%, to $621 billion next year, from $647 billion in 2019, according to the research company, Kallanish Energy learns.
The outlook is based on a Brent crude oil price of $60 a barrel, close to where it’s currently trading. That’s in “stark contrast” to Rystad’s previous view, which was based on an estimate for crude at roughly $70/Bbl in 2020, with services expanding 2%, said Audun Martinsen, its head of Oilfield Services Research.
Oil prices are down this year amid a persistent supply glut and concerns about global demand. That has put further pressure in particular on U.S. shale producers, many of which are cutting costs.
Rystad said the worst of the looming recession in services will be in shale, which is expected to see a 6% decline in spending.
Other onshore activity will fall 5% and offshore will drop 1%, the company added. Subsea spending will rise because of an existing backlog.
Rystad sees overall spending growth resuming in 2021.
This post appeared first on Kallanish Energy News.