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Latest facts from the Marcellus, Utica, and Permian, Eagle Ford Plays
Appalachian Basin Production Increases Coming. Northeast natural gas production in 2021 to date has averaged 34 Bcf/d, up 1.4 Bcf/d year-on-year, and the higher gas price environment currently is signaling more upside to production in the years to come. At the same time, downstream feedgas demand from LNG export facilities is at a record high and also headed higher as more liquefaction capacity is set to come online in the coming months. So, despite lower-than-normal inventory levels in the Northeast, outflows from the Appalachian basin have soared to new highs this year, and utilization of outbound pipeline capacity is up to an average 90%, a level we haven’t seen since the 2016-17 timeframe. Unlike 2016-17, when there was a slew of major pipeline projects to expand egress, now there are just two or three at most — and two of those are greenfield projects that face an uncertain future. As such, spare exit capacity is getting increasingly sparse, and Appalachian producers are bound to hit the capacity “wall” in the next two years. When will the Northeast run out of exit capacity and how bad could constraints get? In “Back to Zero – Appalachia’s Dwindling Natural Gas Pipeline Takeaway Capacity,” Sheetal Nasta provides highlights from our new Drill Down report, which brings together our latest analysis on Northeast gas takeaway capacity and flows.
MVP Objections Withdrawn. Thanks, MDN. Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) is a 303-mile pipeline from West Virginia to southern Virginia that is 92% complete (in-the-ground). The pipeline is targeted to be in-service by the middle of next year. The project is currently stalled. MVP Southgate is an extension to MVP that will travel an additional 75 miles from southern Virginia (where the current MVP terminates) into North Carolina. MVP Southgate has not yet broken ground. The project has been opposed by North Carolina and the same mish-mash of “environmental” groups that opposed MVP. However, this week there are two fewer groups opposed to Southgate than there was last week.
Two Native American tribes previously objected to the Southgate project citing concerns over historic and cultural sites. The tribes, located in Virginia, have just withdrawn their objections.
In a letter to FERC filed on August 16 an attorney representing both the Monacan Indian Nation and Sappony Tribe indicates the tribes have reached a settlement with the developers of MVP Southgate and are “withdrawing their objections to the permitting process and have moved to dismiss any existing claims in any pending litigation related to the projects.”
The tribes say MVP listened to their concerns and “agreed to address them in a productive manner.” Kudos to MVP for working it out.
Schlumberger Introduces Self-Steering Direction Drilling. Thanks, Rigzone. “Look ma, no hands on the steering wheel!” Forget about self-steering/self-driving cars. That’s yesterday. Now we have self-steering (or “autonomous”) directional drilling–oil and gas drilling that steers itself using artificial intelligence. Brought to you by the largest oilfield services company in the world: Schlumberger.
Directing a drill bit thousands of feet underground with no cameras and no practical way of knowing if you’re hitting the right rock layer is a challenge. One of the primary methods to know where you are and whether you are in the right area is by analyzing rock chips that come back up out of the borehole, otherwise known as “mud logging.” We’ll never forget having a private tour of a drill site in Susquehanna County, PA by Cabot Oil & Gas’s chief driller, Buddy Wylie. During the tour, Buddy waxed eloquent on mud logging, showing us rock chips under a microscope.
Instead of waiting a half-hour for rock chips to be analyzed, what if a computer could monitor and analyze what’s happening at the drill bit in real-time, and use artificial intelligence to compensate and change the direction, speed, etc. of the drilling operation? That’s what Schlumberger says it can now do.
Drilling on Federal Lands Restored. U.S. regulator moving to restore federal oil and gas leasing program -official. A U.S. offshore regulator on Wednesday said efforts to resume a federal oil and gas leasing program are underway and would soon bear results following a court decision ending a suspension. The Biden administration this week challenged the court decision, arguing the program does not adequately consider climate impacts. But it will proceed with new leases as its appeal grinds through the courts.
U.S. Stockpiles Fall. U.S. crude stockpiles fall to January 2020 lows -EIA. U.S. crude oil stockpiles dropped last week to their lowest levels since January 2020, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Inventories have been declining for several months as U.S. fuel demand has rebounded with Americans getting vaccinated against coronavirus. Infections, however, are surging again and analysts are watching to see if fuel demand slackens, particularly across southern states where the number of people infected has surged.
Blue Hydrogen Projects Coming. Blue hydrogen projects gaining steam across lower 48 oil, natural gas patch. NGI. Plans to produce low-carbon hydrogen, using natural gas and carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS), are gaining momentum in major producing states such as North Dakota and Texas. Bakken Energy LLC on Monday agreed to acquire the Great Plains Synfuels Plant in Beulah, ND, as part of a larger plan to develop a more than $2 billion low-carbon hydrogen hub in the state. The Synfuels Plant is owned by Dakota Gasification Co., aka Dakota Gas, a subsidiary of Basin Electric Power Cooperative.
NatGas Drillers Building Cleaner Market. Natural gas producers building a new, cleaner market. When Mike John thinks about responsibly sourced natural gas, he sees the future: How his drilling company, based in the heart of Appalachia, will not only continue to be able to produce natural gas for the long run, but also show in detail just how it’s reducing greenhouse gas emissions. “This RSG and ESG (environmental, social and governance) world is the path forward for sustainability for our area, and similarly as a natural gas producer, we believe that RSG and ESG are critical not just here for Appalachian producers, but anyone in our business,” said John, CEO of Northeast Natural Energy LLC.
We Need PA Pipelines. Pipelines in Pa. necessary despite shared climate concerns, industry says. Pennsylvania’s extensive network of natural gas pipelines will remain necessary for the next 30 years, even as the industry said it shares the growing worldwide concern about fossil fuels’ impact on climate change. “My advice would be is that we can’t solve a climate crisis by creating an energy crisis,” said Keith Coyle, chairman of the Marcellus Shale Coalition Pipeline Safety Workgroup. “As long as we are relying on fossil fuels to produce power, we need pipelines to deliver them safely.
NatGas Exports Exceed Imports. U.S. natural gas exports to exceed natural gas imports in 2021. U.S. natural gas exports are rising as companies sell more LNG to Mexico. Exports will exceed imports in 2021 by an average of 11 billion cubic feet per day, nearly double the 2020 average of 7.5 billion cubic feet per day, according to the Energy Department. Annual LNG exports are expected to outpace pipeline exports by an estimated 0.6 billion cubic feet per day this year for the first time since U.S. LNG exports from the Lower 48 states began from Houston-based Cheniere’s Sabine Pass export terminal in La. in February 2016.
Fossil Fuels Roaring Back! U.S. appetite for fossil fuels comes roaring back as economy cranks into gear. America’s appetite for fossil fuels has come roaring back as the economy cranks into gear, providing a boost to energy groups but flying in the face of Washington’s drive to slash emissions. Motorists’ return to the roads following the loosening of pandemic restrictions is pushing up fuel demand and the bottom lines of oil refiners, while a shift away from natural gas in power generation has been a boon to coal miners.
Record LNG Exports 2021/2022. Thanks, MDN. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is forecasting that U.S. natural gas exports will exceed natural gas imports by an average of 11.0 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2021, or almost 50% more than the 2020 average of 7.5 Bcf/d. Increases in liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and increases in pipeline exports to Mexico are driving the growth in U.S. natural gas exports. EIA also says U.S. natural gas exports will continue to grow throughout 2021 and 2022, exceeding the record of 14.4 Bcf/d set in 2020. This spells opportunity for M-U drillers.
NatGas Rally Far from Over. The natural gas rally is far from over. After hitting a near three-year high of $4.20/MMBtu a week ago, natural gas prices have gone into a sharp reversal, leading to growing fears that the bull party could have come to an abrupt end. Natural gas futures slipped another 4% on Thursday to trade at $3.90/MMBtu after the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that natural gas injections rose by 49 billion cubic feet for the week ended Aug. 6, above the 44 billion cubic feet average estimate by Wall Street.
Consolidation Continues in the Permian. Permian Basin oil and gas industry continues to consolidate in the wake of COVID-19. Carlsbad Current-Argus. Oil and gas operators in the Permian Basin continued to consolidate land used to produce fossil fuels, purchasing acreage already in production to drive up returns for investors. The industry began its consolidation in the wake of the COVID-19 health crisis which saw the price per barrel plummet below $0 per barrel for the first time in history last year, stymying production. The market recovered this year as COVID-19 vaccines became more widely available and fuel demand grew when travel and business restrictions were lifted.
PA Permit August 12, to August 19, 2021
County Township E&P Companies
- Allegheny Elizabeth Olympus
- Allegheny Elizabeth Olympus
- Allegheny Elizabeth Olympus
- Clarion Licking Laurel Mtn.
- Greene Richhill EQT
- Greene Richhill EQT
- Susquehanna Brooklyn Cabot
- Susquehanna Brooklyn Cabot
- Susquehanna Brooklyn Cabot
- Susquehanna Brooklyn Cabot
- Susquehanna Brooklyn Cabot
- Tioga Hamilton Repsol
- Washington Cecil Range
OH August 12, to August 19, 2021
County Township E&P Companies
- No New Permits
WV August 9, to August 13, 2021
- Wetzel EQT
- Wetzel EQT
- Wetzel EQT
- Wetzel EQT
- Wetzel EQT
- Wetzel EQT
- Wetzel EQT
